Of all the sports that you can bet on golf is one of the most interesting and potentially lucrative. It is a real battle between bookie and punter. The bookies’ job is to make sure that they turn a profit at the end of each and every tournament no matter the result while the punters are looking to sniff out that great value bet which the bookies are offering big odds on. For people who have only ever had a dabble or perhaps never bet on golf it can be a confusing prospect. That’s where this article comes in.
The main market when it comes to betting on golf is the outright winner market. This is where you bet on the player you think will win the tournament. All the best golf betting sites also offer the option for each-way bets on their outrights. The each-way places change depending on the size of the field and bookie to bookie while there are often great golf betting offers on the biggest event. Take betting on the Open Championship for example, the bookies all have offers and promotions for the major championships which often include more each-way places but can also include free bets and money back deals.
You should keep an eye out for the latest golf betting offers but what about picking a winner week by week? The following is what you should be examining before placing a bet.
Golfers are precious creatures. Anyone who has played the game knows that the toughest shot in golf is the shot after a shank, well the same applies for tournament golf – it’s tough to get up for the week after a poor showing. Some of the best players in the world have gone through horrible spells – think Luke Donald or Martin Kaymer – but on the flip side, when things go well they tend to keep going well. Rory McIlroy’s incredible summer of 2014 is a great example of a player hitting top form and blowing away all-comers. If you can get on a player as they’re coming into form but before everyone else has cottoned on, you could get some great value odds.
As well as recent form, some players just love playing on certain courses. Jimmy Walker at Waialae Country Club, Ryan Moore at the Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club and Jordan Spieth at TPC Deere Run are just three examples. For whatever reason, those players just get it around those courses in low scores, with certain courses favouring certain types of player. It might be down to distance, familiarity with the local conditions or the shape of the player’s ball, or even just confidence, but the fact is, taking note of course form is a key aspect when it comes to picking winning golf bets.
As well as individual courses, the location of the tournament can play a part in a player’s chances of winning. Is it close to their home? Perhaps they went to university in the town. Or maybe they just love visiting. It’s certainly something to keep an eye out for, with, as alluded to above, local knowledge potentially a big factor.
Style of Course
The style of the course is one of the most important factors to consider, think links golf for example. With generally hard fairways and greens, blustery conditions and multiple bunkers, to win at a links course you need to be able to keep the ball low out of the wind and have a great imagination around the greens. Wider courses favour players who can smash the ball miles while tricky, narrow, tree-lined tracks are perfect for accurate players who plot their way around.
When it comes to weighing up a player’s chances on a given course there are a few statistics to bear in mind. Driving distance is massively important on long courses while driving accuracy is vital on courses with narrow fairways or long, punishing rough. Players who have high greens in regulation stats excel on the toughest courses where scrambling (the ability to make par after missing a green) is also key. Courses with tough greens are good for players with the lowest putting average and those who hit their approach shots close to the hole. Putting stats are also important on the easiest courses as these often come down to which player takes most of their chances.
Results on Similar Courses
Each golf course is unique but there are comparisons to be drawn between some which can be a vital tool in your betting armoury. There may be nothing quite like Augusta National, home of the Masters, but previous performance on long, tree-lined courses can point towards a good player to bet on. These sort of comparisons can be made between a large amount of the tournaments on both the PGA and European Tours and often lead to exciting, long odds betting opportunities, with strong performance at one tournament a great clue to how a player may perform at a different tournament.